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Daily Technical Analysis

 

Pivots
R3 1.3024
R2 1.3001
R1 1.2969
Pivot Point 1.2946
S1 1.2914
S2 1.2891
S3 1.2859

 

Key Levels
Resistance 1.3485
Resistance 1.3385
Support 1.3332
Support 1.3251
Support 1.3145
Support 1.3000

Trend

The Swing strategy. Short.
The Alligator strategy. Short.

Warning

The price support of 1.2970 has been broken. Stochastic oversold.

Overview

Swing Strategy: The 1st May Lower higher has now been confirmed by Monday’s gap down and breach of the 16th April low. We now have an unfilled gap. Daily support around the 1.2970 area has been broken. As predicted yesterday EURUSD bounced off the bottom of this level.

Alligator Strategy:
The Alligator indicator has turned from a neutral to a short bias. Price extended from the deferred MA’s.

Possible range

The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 88 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.2848 and 1.3024.

Long scenario

  • Conservative long above 1.3283 being the last daily fractal high.
  • Aggressive long into the deferred MA’s.

Short scenario

  • Conservative short beneath 1.3157 is in play. Further shorts beneath 1.2947 have been triggered. Current status neutral.
  • Aggressive short pullbacks into the deferred MA’s.

Notes

N/A

Risk Disclaimer:

Users of ACFX.COM website and BLOG and any affiliated website note the content of the above analysis or any other information within the website do not at any time provide financial advice. The information is based on historical analysis and for educational purposes only. We recommend readers not to make any investment decision of any sort on the basis of the information above unless prior professional consultation is sought. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this website. Trading CFDs and Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Investors should ensure they fully understand the risks associated with leveraged CFD and FX trading before deciding to trade. Investors should carefully evaluate whether their financial situation is appropriate for such transactions.

Pivots
R3 1.6278
R2 1.6229
R1 1.6188
Pivot Point 1.6139
S1 1.6098
S2 1.6049
S3 1.6008

 

Key Levels
Resistance 1.7042
Resistance 1.6737
Resistance 1.6165
Support 1.5991
Support 1.5602
Support 1.5300

Trends

The Swing strategy. Long
The Alligator strategy. Long.

Warning

Overview

Swing Strategy :
The pull back from the 30th April high is under way. This pull back has been orderly. Ideally a re-entry long would be at the fib support coming in at 1.6055. However a close above the 9th May high is a technical long trigger.

Alligator Strategy:
The Alligator indicator is bullish. As the trend is up, the preferred strategy is to purchase any pull backs into the deferred MA’s or buy break outs of the current daily fractal high.

Possible range

The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 76 pips. This implies that GBPUSD could potentially trade between 1.6070 and 1.6222.

Long scenario

  • Conservative long above 1.6300 being the last daily fractal high.
  • Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.

Short scenario

  • Conservative short, trade beneath 1.6114 is in play. Possible additional shorts beneath 1.6066.
  • Aggressive short neutral.

Notes

Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.

Risk Disclaimer:

Users of ACFX.COM website and BLOG and any affiliated website note the content of the above analysis or any other information within the website do not at any time provide financial advice. The information is based on historical analysis and for educational purposes only. We recommend readers not to make any investment decision of any sort on the basis of the information above unless prior professional consultation is sought. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this website. Trading CFDs and Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Investors should ensure they fully understand the risks associated with leveraged CFD and FX trading before deciding to trade. Investors should carefully evaluate whether their financial situation is appropriate for such transactions.

Pivots
R3 80.50
R2 80.25
R1 80.09
Pivot Point 79.84
S1 79.68
S2 79.43
S3 79.27

 

Key Levels
Resistance 84.88
Resistance 84.17
Resistance 83.38
Support 81.97
Support 80.22
Support 76.42

Trends

The Swing strategy. Short.
The Alligator strategy. Short.

Warning

A potential Lower High has been confirmed by the breach of the 16th April lows. The stochastic is forming a positive divergence.

Overview

Swing Strategy : A Potential Lower Low is forming. We are watching for a measured and orderly pull back so as to confirm the swing low pivot.

Alligator strategy: The Alligator indicator has turned negative. The preferred strategy is to short pull backs into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame or trade the breakdown of the last daily fractal low.

Possible range

The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 0.5986. This implies that USDJPY could potentially trade between 79.3214 and 80.5186.

Long scenario

  • Conservative long above 80.60 being the last daily fractal high.
  • Aggressive long into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.

Short scenario

  • Conservative short below 79.63 is in play. Possible additional shorts beneath 79.42.
  • An aggressive short, short pullback into the deferred MA’s in lower time frames.

Notes

There is nothing new to report from previous day’s analysis.

Risk Disclaimer:

Users of ACFX.COM website and BLOG and any affiliated website note the content of the above analysis or any other information within the website do not at any time provide financial advice. The information is based on historical analysis and for educational purposes only. We recommend readers not to make any investment decision of any sort on the basis of the information above unless prior professional consultation is sought. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this website. Trading CFDs and Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Investors should ensure they fully understand the risks associated with leveraged CFD and FX trading before deciding to trade. Investors should carefully evaluate whether their financial situation is appropriate for such transactions.

Pivots
R3 0.9335
R2 0.9313
R1 0.9299
Pivot Point 0.9277
S1 0.9263
S2 0.9241
S3 0.9227

 

Key Levels
Resistance 0.9916
Resistance 0.9593
Resistance 0.9463
Resistance 0.9334
Support 0.8930
Support 0.8568

Trends

The Swing strategy is Long.
The Alligator strategy is Long.

Warning

N/A

Overview

Swing strategy: The breach of the 16th April high and prior potential higher low of the 1st May has coincided with a triangle break out. As long as the price action can hold above the 1st of May low the swing strategy is long with any pull backs being buying opportunities. A pullback to the downside slopping trend line which is formed by the triangle top is a possible scenario for a long entry.

Alligator strategy: The Alligator indicator has turned bullish but the price action is extended from its deferred MA.
Possible range

The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 62 pips. This implies that USDCHF could potentially trade between 0.9222 and 0.9346.

Long scenario

  • Conservative long above 0.9133 being the last daily fractal high is in play. New longs above 0.9271 have been triggered.
  • Aggressive long buy pull backs into the deferred MA’s.

Short scenario

  • Conservative short below 0.9042 being the last daily fractal low.
  • Aggressive short into the deferred MA’s.

Notes

There is nothing new to report from previous day’s analysis.

Risk Disclaimer:

Users of ACFX.COM website and BLOG and any affiliated website note the content of the above analysis or any other information within the website do not at any time provide financial advice. The information is based on historical analysis and for educational purposes only. We recommend readers not to make any investment decision of any sort on the basis of the information above unless prior professional consultation is sought. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this website. Trading CFDs and Forex (foreign exchange) on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Investors should ensure they fully understand the risks associated with leveraged CFD and FX trading before deciding to trade. Investors should carefully evaluate whether their financial situation is appropriate for such transactions.

Filed in: Technical Analysis

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